Friday, April 10, 2009

The new normal - The McKinsey Quarterly - The new normal - Strategy - Strategic Thinking

Quick look at the “new normal” by McKinsey. Not a lot of detail here but in the spirit of the article, here are a couple of my “new normal” predictions;

1) The economy will be more slow burn. With (somewhat) higher savings rates and (somewhat) lower consumption, the economy will be on a slower, but hopefully more sustainable and less bubbly) path

2) I don’t want to overstate the higher savings/lower consumption in the US. Yes, there will be some changes in consumption patterns but it won’t be extreme. The US is not going to turn into Asia-type supersavers and consumer credit will trickle back to fuel consumption.

3) Western/Ango-Saxon/whatever you want to call it capitalism won’t die. It won’t even be on life support. Yes, it may evolve somewhat. Yes, there may be more regulations. But the core principles will remain

4) I hope I can say the same for globalization. I don’t think there is great long-term threat to globalization but there may be bumps


The new normal - The McKinsey Quarterly - The new normal - Strategy - Strategic Thinking

No comments: